NotForWin
0x2044eb47af7f3b5feece9bac21968dbc41a4a997
- Realised P&L
- $1.63
- Volume
- $515.96
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $0.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.88at 0.020Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.821Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$0.20at 0.025Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- +$0.13at 0.040Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- +$0.12at 0.002Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 15:15 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.10 |
| 10-16 15:13 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.37 |
| 10-16 13:31 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.068 | $0.35 |
| 10-16 07:19 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.08 |
| 10-16 05:08 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 10-15 03:13 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.069 | $0.35 |
| 10-15 03:09 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.204 | $1.02 |
| 09-16 22:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |