PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NotForWin

0x2044eb47af7f3b5feece9bac21968dbc41a4a997

Realised P&L
$1.63
Volume
$515.96
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$0.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? · Yes0.0020.004$0.12+$0.06
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? · Yes0.0070.005$0.10−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 17? · Yes0.0010.004$0.07+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 17? · Yes0.0010.003$0.05+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 18? · Yes0.0010.002$0.03+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 18? · Yes0.0010.002$0.03+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or higher on October 17? · Yes0.0010.003$0.03+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 17? · Yes0.0010.002$0.03+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 17? · Yes0.0010.002$0.02+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on October 17? · Yes0.0010.001$0.02+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C or below on October 18? · Yes0.0010.001$0.02+$0.00
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$0.02+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 18? · Yes0.0010.001$0.02+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C or below on October 17? · Yes0.0010.001$0.02+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on October 18? · Yes0.0010.001$0.02+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 15:15Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?SELL0.019$0.10
10-16 15:13Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?SELL0.037$0.37
10-16 13:31Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?SELL0.068$0.35
10-16 07:19Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?SELL0.013$0.08
10-16 05:08Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?SELL0.003$0.02
10-15 03:13Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?SELL0.069$0.35
10-15 03:09Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?SELL0.204$1.02
09-16 22:11Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.8099999352$1.00