0x2041e5E4c36e35Abf60B1B34dC5cBA5238De5416-1772112384610
0x2041e5e4c36e35abf60b1b34dc5cba5238de5416
- Realised P&L
- $-55.78
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 204
- Open portfolio
- $2.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded204
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.55at 0.179Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.08at 0.149Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 29?
- +$4.57at 0.315Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 25-31?
- +$2.81at 0.262Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$2.81at 0.262Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 14:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 08:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 08:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.0619999971 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 08:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 08:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 15:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 14:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 14:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |