0x203C6A769E43664aF2b560e945148cA996a43418-1777914038185
0x203c6a769e43664af2b560e945148ca996a43418
- Realised P&L
- $-16.92
- Volume
- $365.23
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $5.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.125 | $2.53 | −$3.47 |
| Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.175 | $1.59 | +$0.59 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.125 | $1.14 | −$0.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Up | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Up | 0.476 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Up | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Down | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.82at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$4.23at 0.492Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- +$2.48at 0.456Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$1.09at 0.488Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$0.82at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 07:30 | Will Rihanna release an album in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.25 |
| 07-22 07:28 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.032 | $1.70 |
| 05-11 15:06 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0939999836 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 20:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 20:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 20:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 18:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 18:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 17:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4764740917 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 17:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 17:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |