duof
0x2034561af0cf4edfaecb82156b4a1805cd2de659
- Realised P&L
- $13.79
- Volume
- $53.6k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $32.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.967 | 0.988 | $32.54 | +$0.69 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.48at 0.955Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27?
- +$1.10at 0.615Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.93at 0.965Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$0.71at 0.979Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?
- +$0.69at 0.981Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 09:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.69 |
| 09-30 16:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9853472415 | $30.00 |
| 09-30 14:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 03:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $38.00 |
| 09-27 15:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $38.00 |
| 09-27 12:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 21-27? | SELL | 0.998 | $37.92 |
| 09-25 01:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.989 | $37.58 |
| 09-18 15:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.979 | $25.45 |
| 09-18 15:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.29 |
| 09-17 15:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.65 |
| 09-13 04:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.65 |
| 09-09 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $33.66 |
| 09-08 15:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $33.86 |
| 09-08 03:07 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $33.86 |
| 09-07 13:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.986 | $33.52 |