0x2032C9912e648c289B72DD113ea01bAFDE26134D-1762237335251
0x2032c9912e648c289b72dd113ea01bafde26134d
- Realised P&L
- $-941.27
- Volume
- $538.3k
- Markets traded
- 434
- Open portfolio
- $11.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded434
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.40at 0.250Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
- +$18.80at 0.019Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$16.41at 0.825Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$5.65at 0.113Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
- +$5.60at 0.181US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 13:34 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 14:51 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 09-28 14:51 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 09-25 14:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.088 | $1.76 |
| 09-25 14:53 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-22 15:38 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.235 | $11.75 |
| 09-22 14:08 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 12:29 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.08 |
| 09-21 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 09-20 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 09-20 10:57 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $2.28 |
| 09-20 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-19 11:31 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.90 |
| 09-15 13:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.82 |
| 09-15 13:08 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.40 |