littlebird
0x202b3056678783c0ad73cc20c837b360b994971a
- Realised P&L
- $-38.7k
- Volume
- $743.0k
- Markets traded
- 256
- Open portfolio
- $25.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded256
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.332Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?
- +$1.9kat 0.670Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
- +$1.5kat 0.316Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.768Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$754.39at 0.570Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 02:06 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 06-11 02:06 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.61 | $183.00 |
| 06-11 02:05 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.61 | $183.00 |
| 06-11 02:04 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 06-11 02:04 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 06-11 02:01 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 06-11 01:59 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.61 | $21.35 |
| 06-11 01:58 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.61 | $73.20 |
| 06-11 01:57 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.6 | $5.02 |
| 06-11 01:55 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.6 | $43.34 |
| 06-11 01:55 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 06-11 01:52 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.66 |
| 06-11 01:52 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.61 | $50.63 |
| 06-11 01:51 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.59 | $17.11 |
| 06-11 01:50 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.58 | $173.42 |