PolyBot

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Traders

littlebird

0x202b3056678783c0ad73cc20c837b360b994971a

Realised P&L
$-38.7k
Volume
$743.0k
Markets traded
256
Open portfolio
$25.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded256
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · No0.5950.870$2.2k+$704.74
Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat? · No0.8940.936$2.1k+$91.31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5650.695$1.9k+$346.36
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.983$1.6k+$169.40
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.6390.750$1.3k+$186.53
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.7140.905$1.2k+$263.61
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2330.163$1.0k$453.13
Discord IPO before 2027? · No0.3510.894$946.94+$575.13
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.5140.525$859.35+$17.72
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.2850.955$856.28+$600.39
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? · No0.8220.880$816.48+$53.93
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8130.915$753.96+$83.80
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.8520.875$728.10+$18.92
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? · Yes0.9000.925$647.50+$17.50
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No0.8950.973$613.37+$48.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-11 02:06Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.61$61.00
06-11 02:06Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.61$183.00
06-11 02:05Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.61$183.00
06-11 02:04Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.61$61.00
06-11 02:04Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.61$61.00
06-11 02:01Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.61$61.00
06-11 01:59Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.61$21.35
06-11 01:58Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.61$73.20
06-11 01:57Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.6$5.02
06-11 01:55Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.6$43.34
06-11 01:55Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.61$61.00
06-11 01:52Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.61$3.66
06-11 01:52Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.61$50.63
06-11 01:51Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.59$17.11
06-11 01:50Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?BUY0.58$173.42