HKDJBLACK
0x202512772ec480dcb599588df670ad8fba060e85
- Realised P&L
- $25.90
- Volume
- $367.52
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $171.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.575 | 0.940 | $111.19 | +$43.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.480 | $19.53 | +$2.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.240 | $9.68 | −$2.82 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.080 | $9.13 | −$22.83 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · No | 0.480 | 0.755 | $7.86 | +$2.86 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.425 | $6.44 | +$1.44 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.370 | $5.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 15? · Yes | 0.550 | 1.000 | $1.82 | +$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.273Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?
- +$1.53at 0.402Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 15?
- +$0.27at 0.788Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.3099999973 | $12.50 |
| 09-15 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4299999939 | $17.50 |
| 09-15 09:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | SELL | 0.88 | $3.38 |
| 09-15 07:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.2799999979 | $31.96 |
| 09-15 07:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.5748674575 | $68.00 |
| 09-14 23:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 23:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 22:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 21:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 17:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |