PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HKDJBLACK

0x202512772ec480dcb599588df670ad8fba060e85

Realised P&L
$25.90
Volume
$367.52
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$171.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 14:04Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 16?BUY0.3099999973$12.50
09-15 14:04Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?BUY0.4299999939$17.50
09-15 09:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?SELL0.88$3.38
09-15 07:11Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 16?BUY0.2799999979$31.96
09-15 07:10Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16?BUY0.5748674575$68.00
09-14 23:16Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 16?BUY0.3299999815$5.00
09-14 23:16Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 16?BUY0.3299999815$5.00
09-14 22:06Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?BUY0.4799999846$5.00
09-14 21:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-14 21:30Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 15?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-14 17:12Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 15?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-14 17:10Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 15?BUY0.78$1.00