0x201b48bde1dd458d83f7cbe16a2296f5470ba87a
0x201b48bde1dd458d83f7cbe16a2296f5470ba87a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.41
- Volume
- $158.36
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $2.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.825 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.600 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.42at 0.298Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.03at 0.330US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 06:11 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:35 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:41 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:36 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:35 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:35 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:33 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:57 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:53 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 04:52 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 18:52 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 10:40 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 00:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:08 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 08:07 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |