0x201Aa3595651f2F8B3189194d9430770908fD9E3-1751947799803
0x201aa3595651f2f8b3189194d9430770908fd9e3
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $405.8k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $41.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 5? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.027 | $41.35 | −$30.63 |
| Jimmy Lai released by June 30? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.63 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.180Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?
- +$2.7kat 0.190Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 27?
- +$853.85at 0.190Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 13?
- +$612.69at 0.324Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
- +$553.27at 0.606Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 14:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 5? | BUY | 0.047 | $28.22 |
| 10-03 14:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 5? | BUY | 0.047 | $43.76 |
| 07-01 17:17 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 07-01 17:12 | Spread: England (-1.5) | SELL | 0.14 | $55.63 |
| 07-01 14:55 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4899999997 | $194.70 |
| 05-15 04:00 | Jimmy Lai released by June 30? | BUY | 0.0509999951 | $9.63 |
| 05-15 03:43 | Jimmy Lai released by June 30? | BUY | 0.0558449693 | $10.00 |
| 05-15 03:41 | GTA VI released before June 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $11.11 |
| 05-11 11:45 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | SELL | 0.0902857143 | $110.60 |
| 05-10 10:13 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $98.00 |
| 05-09 17:40 | GTA VI released before June 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.00 |
| 05-04 05:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6? | BUY | 0.2 | $39.65 |
| 04-24 12:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 24? | SELL | 0.14 | $45.35 |
| 04-24 08:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 24? | BUY | 0.289999998 | $88.89 |
| 04-23 17:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 24? | SELL | 0.51 | $720.86 |