0x2016B46daB9ffE89921731a5D360617bbdFc0aa4-1730853344015
0x2016b46dab9ffe89921731a5d360617bbdfc0aa4
- Realised P&L
- $-3.30
- Volume
- $158.60
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $13.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.119 | $7.99 | −$2.01 |
| Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No | 0.810 | 0.815 | $5.70 | +$0.03 |
| Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.70at 0.946Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 13:48 | Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.81 | $5.66 |
| 10-14 13:41 | Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.149 | $10.01 |
| 11-01 15:22 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9459999992 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 15:21 | Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.1699999702 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 15:21 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.946 | $21.31 |
| 10-27 13:47 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9529999991 | $21.48 |