H-Annz
0x201298ebd4f80a4db80caf31fdd12dd3569c42c3
- Realised P&L
- $-389.02
- Volume
- $35.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,573
- Open portfolio
- $7.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,573
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.445 | $5.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.200 | $2.20 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.466 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.65at 0.171Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$93.58at 0.302Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
- +$90.88at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$86.27at 0.418Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$79.27at 0.344Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.20 |
| 10-04 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.9885323121 | $20.65 |
| 10-03 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.88 |
| 10-03 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.40 |
| 10-03 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.3099999881 | $7.30 |
| 10-03 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.4272230455 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 18:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.4308234453 | $9.00 |
| 10-02 18:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.4662883327 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.23 | $6.59 |
| 10-02 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.07 |
| 10-02 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-02 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2299999953 | $6.80 |
| 10-02 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.3489183531 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.26 | $8.24 |