wettor-bettor-b
0x20118f14091ee38afa401ee89e7b8343e6c8845b
- Realised P&L
- $396.14
- Volume
- $125.5k
- Markets traded
- 763
- Open portfolio
- $279.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded763
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 4? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $180.58 | +$0.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 4? · No | 0.991 | 1.000 | $60.09 | +$0.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $30.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes | 0.441 | 0.315 | $8.93 | −$3.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.36at 0.543Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 6?
- +$238.63at 0.163Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?
- +$158.11at 0.583Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?
- +$109.98at 0.352Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 5?
- +$47.90at 0.809Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.01 |
| 08-04 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9966007984 | $19.97 |
| 08-04 13:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $49.90 |
| 08-04 13:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $49.90 |
| 08-04 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.01 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.02 |
| 08-04 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.05 |
| 08-04 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.02 |
| 08-04 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.02 |
| 08-04 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.02 |
| 08-04 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $160.17 |