wettor-bettor-b
0x20118f14091ee38afa401ee89e7b8343e6c8845b
- Realised P&L
- $98.84
- Volume
- $172.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,204
- Open portfolio
- $100.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,204
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? · No | 0.853 | 0.425 | $98.50 | −$99.07 |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30? · Yes | 0.364 | 0.021 | $1.13 | −$18.50 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on September 20? · No | 0.998 | 0.166 | $0.99 | −$4.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? · No | 0.995 | 0.003 | $0.05 | −$19.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? · No | 0.998 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.02 |
| Parramatta Eels vs. North Queensland Cowboys · North Queensland Cowboys | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6? · No | 0.996 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$164.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$244.11at 0.554Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 6?
- +$233.72at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?
- +$156.15at 0.588Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?
- +$108.03at 0.363Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 5?
- +$45.88at 0.817Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.44 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.42 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.48 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.48 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.46 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.53 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.47 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.48 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.42 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.45 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.51 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.52 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.49 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.50 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.44 |