Toutdfb
0x200fa2cd83bb69e370b2b450ceb88e4cf99d05bb
- Realised P&L
- $256.35
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $33.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Patriots (-5.5) · Patriots | 0.490 | 0.485 | $33.95 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$192.71at 0.347Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
- +$164.34at 0.500Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 23–30?
- +$163.35at 0.500Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
- +$152.21at 0.500Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$14.81at 0.259Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:41 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.90 |
| 09-16 07:41 | Spread: Patriots (-5.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $34.30 |
| 09-16 07:40 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 09:01 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | BUY | 0.59 | $16.11 |
| 08-22 03:11 | Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-12 08:20 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.64 | $14.08 |
| 07-16 07:30 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m? | BUY | 0.64 | $23.87 |
| 07-10 03:04 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.8 | $14.40 |
| 06-26 06:44 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.0k |
| 06-26 06:44 | Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $59.95 |
| 06-26 06:44 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 06-26 06:43 | Will Solana reach $150 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 06:42 | Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $993.98 |
| 06-26 06:42 | Will Solana reach $150 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 06:42 | Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.1k |