0x200ba2fcdf56f7ba3eaf7da98bcfcf96c5f47952
0x200ba2fcdf56f7ba3eaf7da98bcfcf96c5f47952
- Realised P&L
- $4.44
- Volume
- $138.87
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $2.01
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.815 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.465 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:26 | Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 23:49 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 14:10 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 06:01 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 02:20 | Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 20:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 23:57 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $260 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 15:48 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:01 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 23:01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:00 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:58 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 07:02 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 13:03 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |