gravypouch
0x2009a3d758cc74c1ab423e0f961d07c1439a903e
- Realised P&L
- $23.75
- Volume
- $99.5k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $105.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.127Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$1.1kat 0.640Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
- +$783.62at 0.439Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$569.06at 0.599Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
- +$166.61at 0.716Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 03:41 | Will Kanye West feature Jay-Z during his Chicago homecoming performances? | SELL | 0.003007848 | $1.07 |
| 09-04 03:38 | Will Kanye West feature Jay-Z during his Chicago homecoming performances? | BUY | 0.282296851 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 02:55 | Will Kanye West feature North West during his Chicago homecoming performances? | BUY | 0.7695288921 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 02:50 | Will Kanye West feature North West during his Chicago homecoming performances? | BUY | 0.6899999393 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 02:49 | Will Kanye West feature North West during his Chicago homecoming performances? | BUY | 0.6899999843 | $11.00 |
| 08-10 17:50 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat? | BUY | 0.22 | $96.80 |
| 07-12 21:20 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1219403994 | $288.30 |
| 06-18 14:47 | Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.478 | $25.65 |
| 03-30 19:25 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.0464739988 | $98.05 |
| 03-30 19:24 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0473997902 | $100.00 |
| 03-16 00:13 | Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars? | SELL | 0.3474605137 | $348.46 |
| 03-15 23:37 | Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars? | SELL | 0.1711156 | $85.56 |
| 03-15 23:31 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3563120755 | $2.0k |
| 03-15 23:30 | Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.4985612942 | $500.00 |
| 03-15 23:29 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.0k |