0x20091340EDa3B143496136c07e943dDA8CAEf3c3-1771420156295
0x20091340eda3b143496136c07e943dda8caef3c3
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $15.1k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $890.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar34.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.305 | $762.50 | −$237.50 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes | 0.273 | 0.070 | $128.33 | −$371.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.359US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.574US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 19:02 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.0k |
| 04-27 23:04 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.2727424967 | $500.00 |
| 03-25 12:53 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.5736918157 | $3.0k |
| 02-27 11:16 | US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.359552311 | $2.0k |