0x2005ea9f59d0a425cc3daa667dc2b9b8c3cbfd38
- Realised P&L
- $-129.14
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $54.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes | 0.314 | 0.120 | $54.35 | −$87.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.00at 0.200Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$11.69at 0.837US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$10.14at 0.690US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$7.54at 0.610Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$-0.83at 0.840Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 20:59 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.8326539561 | $59.65 |
| 03-15 13:57 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.3494728982 | $50.19 |
| 03-13 01:10 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | BUY | 0.05 | $30.18 |
| 03-09 22:32 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | BUY | 0.5399999991 | $34.96 |
| 03-08 14:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.6709984619 | $82.88 |
| 03-04 16:35 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.6099999977 | $75.35 |
| 03-04 16:10 | Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | SELL | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 02-28 18:31 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | SELL | 0.77 | $9.16 |
| 02-28 17:46 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $10.00 |
| 02-26 15:39 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.2974221244 | $92.00 |
| 02-22 15:10 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $60.14 |
| 02-19 22:44 | Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 02-19 22:41 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.3154574132 | $30.00 |
| 02-19 02:51 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999968 | $50.00 |