PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2005ea9f59d0a425cc3daa667dc2b9b8c3cbfd38

Realised P&L
$-129.14
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$54.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes0.3140.120$54.35$87.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 20:59US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?BUY0.8326539561$59.65
03-15 13:57Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?BUY0.3494728982$50.19
03-13 01:10Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?BUY0.05$30.18
03-09 22:32Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?BUY0.5399999991$34.96
03-08 14:31Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.6709984619$82.88
03-04 16:35Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.6099999977$75.35
03-04 16:10Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.45$45.00
02-28 18:31Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?SELL0.77$9.16
02-28 17:46Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY0.8399999966$10.00
02-26 15:39Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?BUY0.2974221244$92.00
02-22 15:10US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.83$60.14
02-19 22:44Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.2$20.00
02-19 22:41Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY0.3154574132$30.00
02-19 02:51US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.6899999968$50.00