chux.cc
0x200298f83227a9665d142f64264ce812d05da75e
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $907.8k
- Markets traded
- 4,193
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,193
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee vs. Arkansas · Tennessee | 0.849 | 0.785 | $618.19 | −$50.51 |
| Houston vs. Kansas State · Houston | 0.930 | 0.996 | $393.42 | +$26.07 |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.861 | 1.000 | $343.63 | +$47.46 |
| Virginia Tech vs. California · Virginia Tech | 0.876 | 0.785 | $305.37 | −$35.26 |
| Will CA Colegiales vs. CSD Tristan Suarez end in a draw? · Yes | 0.790 | 1.000 | $304.17 | +$63.65 |
| Illinois vs. Michigan State · Illinois | 0.882 | 0.865 | $287.66 | −$5.66 |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma · Texas | 0.875 | 0.305 | $240.11 | −$448.50 |
| Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.890 | 1.000 | $156.92 | +$17.19 |
| Will MTK Budapest win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.880 | 1.000 | $149.93 | +$17.93 |
| Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.806 | 1.000 | $142.93 | +$27.67 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.673 | 0.815 | $136.92 | +$23.76 |
| Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.686 | 0.820 | $111.11 | +$18.11 |
| Will Vancouver FC win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.780 | 1.000 | $70.96 | +$15.58 |
| Will RAAL La Louviere win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.890 | 1.000 | $55.97 | +$6.13 |
| Will Académico de Viseu FC vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw? · No | 0.750 | 1.000 | $54.21 | +$13.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.580Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5
- +$1.7kat 0.235LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
- +$1.3kat 0.179Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$1.2kat 0.712Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
- +$1.1kat 0.352Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 22:47 | Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.77 | $4.62 |
| 10-10 22:42 | Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.67 | $108.54 |
| 10-10 22:30 | Will Sportivo Luqueno win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8 | $12.00 |
| 10-10 22:24 | Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.73 | $37.23 |
| 10-10 22:12 | Illinois vs. Michigan State | BUY | 0.84 | $43.68 |
| 10-10 22:11 | Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.66 | $19.14 |
| 10-10 22:08 | Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.66 | $36.63 |
| 10-10 22:06 | Illinois vs. Michigan State | BUY | 0.8 | $46.20 |
| 10-10 22:04 | Illinois vs. Michigan State | BUY | 0.8 | $34.24 |
| 10-10 21:52 | Will CD Comerciantes Unidos win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 10-10 21:41 | Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.89 | $139.73 |
| 10-10 21:37 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.77 | $14.29 |
| 10-10 21:33 | Houston vs. Kansas State | BUY | 0.93 | $367.35 |
| 10-10 21:31 | Illinois vs. Michigan State | BUY | 0.94 | $169.20 |
| 10-10 21:30 | Will Vancouver FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.78 | $55.38 |