0x200000900045e3b6259600682756002200028933
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 0
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded0
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.945 | $2.3k | +$2.3k |
| Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05? · No | 0.810 | 0.700 | $105.13 | −$16.52 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.785 | $35.36 | +$35.36 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? · No | 0.000 | 0.645 | $24.20 | +$24.20 |
| Will Simal win on 2026-10-15? · No | 0.000 | 0.495 | $10.49 | +$10.49 |
| Will SK Brann win on 2026-10-15? · No | 0.000 | 0.155 | $2.18 | +$2.18 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.140 | $0.87 | +$0.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.3kat 0.153Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
- +$12.2kat 0.175Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
- +$9.8kat 0.167Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
- +$8.7kat 0.746Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$8.3kat 0.574Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?