DevinFord584
0x1ffbb59a41514d576d4f1c8d8edcd97623f13e3c
- Realised P&L
- $2.81
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 432
- Open portfolio
- $48.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded432
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 28? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.993 | $26.37 | −$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $21.89 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.65at 0.994Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$0.09at 0.997Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$0.07at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?
- +$0.06at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 7?
- +$0.06at 0.998Will XRP dip to $1.35 on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.90 |
| 09-27 19:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.50 |
| 09-23 07:13 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.9989999858 | $19.70 |
| 09-23 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.04 |
| 09-22 16:39 | Will XRP dip to $1.35 on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.20 |
| 09-22 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or higher on September 23? | BUY | 0.9989999904 | $18.80 |
| 09-22 11:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.60 |
| 09-22 00:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.10 |
| 09-18 18:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.50 |
| 09-18 00:05 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.90 |
| 09-17 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.9979999704 | $26.50 |
| 09-13 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.70 |
| 09-11 16:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.998 | $34.86 |
| 09-11 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.9989999648 | $19.30 |
| 09-10 19:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.9989999981 | $34.90 |