0x1ffacf1df3bf740081c6bd58d6bc30718d92dc72
0x1ffacf1df3bf740081c6bd58d6bc30718d92dc72
- Realised P&L
- $8.85
- Volume
- $187.21
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $4.74
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 28? · Down | 0.790 | 0.953 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.780 | 0.930 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.730 | 0.735 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $201 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.230 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.285 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.43at 0.258Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$4.20at 0.268Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$4.03at 0.270Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.329Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.329Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:15 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:07 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $201 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:04 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:00 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:04 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:02 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999372 | $1.49 |
| 09-23 09:58 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999764 | $1.49 |
| 09-22 23:56 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 23? | BUY | 0.7899999788 | $1.49 |
| 09-22 15:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.5999999195 | $1.49 |
| 09-22 06:58 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $187.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999528 | $1.49 |
| 09-21 22:56 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.8099996358 | $1.49 |
| 09-21 14:54 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.49 |
| 09-21 06:53 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999817 | $1.49 |
| 09-20 22:12 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999291 | $1.49 |