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Traders

MaryThePeltolaStan

0x1ff66c223c7d3aba1770462174ca81b10f61b39c

Realised P&L
$-23.48
Volume
$546.89
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$190.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.9000.935$15.58+$0.58
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5200.500$15.38$0.62
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9811.000$15.29+$0.29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.945$11.39+$1.39
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9701.000$10.31+$0.31
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9811.000$10.19+$0.19
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$10.19+$0.19
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat? · Yes0.9200.935$10.16+$0.16
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · No0.8800.890$10.11+$0.11
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.7101.000$7.04+$2.04
Trump out as President by June 30? · No0.9501.000$6.31+$0.32
Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat? · Yes0.9400.935$5.97$0.03
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? · Yes0.9300.955$5.13+$0.13
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9761.000$5.12+$0.12
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9330.939$5.03+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-07 14:16Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
04-07 14:14Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
04-07 14:13Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
04-07 14:12Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.96$2.00
04-07 14:11Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
04-07 14:11Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9699999981$10.00
04-07 14:11Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9759999969$5.00
04-07 14:10Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7099999702$5.00
04-07 14:10Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9809999991$15.00
04-07 14:08Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.96$1.00
04-07 14:08Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.95$1.99
04-07 14:06Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.949999962$4.99
04-07 05:38Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.988$4.00
04-07 05:37Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0170000001$1.00
04-07 05:36Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9809999989$10.00