PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MaryThePeltolaStan

0x1ff66c223c7d3aba1770462174ca81b10f61b39c

Realised P&L
$-25.15
Volume
$557.18
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$190.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5200.500$15.38$0.62
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9811.000$15.29+$0.29
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.9000.915$15.25+$0.25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.957$11.52+$1.52
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat? · Yes0.9200.969$10.53+$0.53
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · No0.8800.915$10.40+$0.40
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9701.000$10.31+$0.31
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.983$10.21+$0.21
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9811.000$10.19+$0.19
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.7101.000$7.04+$2.04
Trump out as President by June 30? · No0.9511.000$6.31+$0.31
Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat? · Yes0.9400.950$6.06+$0.06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8700.925$5.32+$0.32
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat? · Yes0.8800.935$5.31+$0.31
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9330.968$5.19+$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-07 14:16Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
04-07 14:14Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
04-07 14:13Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
04-07 14:12Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.96$2.00
04-07 14:11Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
04-07 14:11Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9699999981$10.00
04-07 14:11Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9759999969$5.00
04-07 14:10Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7099999702$5.00
04-07 14:10Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9809999991$15.00
04-07 14:08Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.96$1.00
04-07 14:08Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.95$1.99
04-07 14:06Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.949999962$4.99
04-07 05:38Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.988$4.00
04-07 05:37Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0170000001$1.00
04-07 05:36Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9809999989$10.00