MaryThePeltolaStan
0x1ff66c223c7d3aba1770462174ca81b10f61b39c
- Realised P&L
- $-23.48
- Volume
- $546.89
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $190.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.02at 0.980Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
- +$0.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$-2.00at 0.503Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
- +$-2.00at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 14:16 | Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 14:14 | Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 14:13 | Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 14:12 | Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 04-07 14:11 | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 04-07 14:11 | Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 14:11 | Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9759999969 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 14:10 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 14:10 | Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9809999991 | $15.00 |
| 04-07 14:08 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 14:08 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.99 |
| 04-07 14:06 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.949999962 | $4.99 |
| 04-07 05:38 | Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.00 |
| 04-07 05:37 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0170000001 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 05:36 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9809999989 | $10.00 |