0x1ff017bf35ea44115c64214ffe91eda78990c5af
0x1ff017bf35ea44115c64214ffe91eda78990c5af
- Realised P&L
- $-1.06
- Volume
- $352.57
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $3.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.965 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.741 | 0.967 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.345 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.46at 0.217Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$4.25at 0.320US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 09:40 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 23:14 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7409998162 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:13 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 06:04 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7529999548 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 22:04 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 18:52 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:51 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 12:11 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:39 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:35 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:31 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7509999564 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 02:08 | Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:34 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 05:19 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299997409 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:56 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |