PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Obirapitanga

0x1fee9078fbfceff344d8a02a04f19aadceb29980

Realised P&L
$7.36
Volume
$240.00
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$28.68

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? · Yes0.6200.855$4.28+$1.18
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? · No0.6000.810$4.05+$1.05
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7500.745$3.73−$0.03
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · No0.7000.715$3.58+$0.07
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7200.715$3.58−$0.03
Will Marvin Harrison Jr. have 624.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6600.665$3.33+$0.03
Rovereto: Teodora Kostovic vs Martyna Kubka · Teodora Kostovic0.6500.635$3.17−$0.07
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) · Stade Rennais FC 19010.6000.595$2.98−$0.03
Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$2.95
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 2? · Yes0.5550.000$0.00−$5.55
Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5 · Under0.0010.000$0.00−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 03:12Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)BUY0.6$3.00
10-15 02:59Rovereto: Teodora Kostovic vs Martyna KubkaBUY0.65$3.25
10-14 17:11Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.72$3.60
10-14 17:05Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.53$2.65
10-14 15:15Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?SELL0.38$1.90
10-13 06:00Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 14?BUY0.73$3.65
10-13 05:27Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 13?SELL0.41$2.05
10-13 05:26Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?SELL0.282$1.41
10-12 23:40Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.7$3.50
10-12 23:24Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 13?BUY0.6$3.00
10-12 04:22Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 12?BUY0.51$2.55
10-11 03:29Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10?SELL0.999$5.00
10-10 15:14Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10?BUY0.75$3.75
10-10 14:44Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?BUY0.75$3.75
10-10 14:34Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.884$4.42