mitazu
0x1fe4068b8aeb84eeaeeea728dd6eddb45eefafbb
- Realised P&L
- $952.32
- Volume
- $254.7k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.496 | 0.455 | $497.77 | −$45.23 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.298 | 0.320 | $276.65 | +$19.09 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.379 | 0.375 | $247.15 | −$2.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.145USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$2.9kat 0.122US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$1.7kat 0.338USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$1.3kat 0.443USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$1.2kat 0.252US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 09:38 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3054354583 | $3.1k |
| 06-02 16:36 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.32 | $7.56 |
| 06-02 16:36 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4963436929 | $543.00 |
| 06-02 16:35 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2972972968 | $250.00 |
| 06-02 16:35 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3793172283 | $250.00 |
| 06-02 07:05 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1430574232 | $50.00 |
| 06-02 07:05 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999992 | $143.00 |
| 06-02 07:05 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999994 | $194.00 |
| 06-02 07:04 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $204.00 |
| 05-26 20:25 | Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.999 | $809.22 |
| 05-26 15:41 | Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0504346474 | $250.00 |
| 05-26 12:05 | Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0916864072 | $641.96 |
| 05-26 12:05 | Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1000932885 | $14.30 |
| 05-26 10:19 | Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.36 | $107.16 |
| 05-26 10:04 | Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1057991685 | $77.87 |