WhyOnlyMe
0x1fdd3a420e540d7d64744f9f2777e41df31077a4
- Realised P&L
- $-797.56
- Volume
- $75.8k
- Markets traded
- 873
- Open portfolio
- $3.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded873
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? · No | 0.360 | 0.075 | $1.88 | −$7.13 |
| Will Chiu Chien-fu win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.042 | $0.83 | −$1.57 |
| Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.073 | $0.81 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$255.00at 0.271Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
- +$124.56at 0.414Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$97.32at 0.555Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$82.44at 0.623Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$81.73at 0.454Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 02:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | SELL | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 08-17 01:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 08-17 00:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 08-17 00:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $30.61 |
| 08-17 00:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | SELL | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 08-17 00:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | SELL | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 08-16 23:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $31.00 |
| 08-16 23:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $14.72 |
| 08-16 22:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | SELL | 0.13 | $6.99 |
| 08-16 22:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | SELL | 0.88 | $50.02 |
| 08-16 21:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $42.58 |
| 08-16 21:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $16.45 |
| 08-16 21:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 08-16 21:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | SELL | 0.855 | $85.50 |
| 08-16 20:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $18.00 |