0x1FD950Dc42a82E34eFfB4Dd71894691e2Bb7Ad71-1771792460408
0x1fd950dc42a82e34effb4dd71894691e2bb7ad71
- Realised P&L
- $-902.07
- Volume
- $33.2k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $746.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.10at 0.722Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?
- +$109.02at 0.746Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 27?
- +$100.49at 0.630Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$89.00at 0.110Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
- +$82.00at 0.348USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 22:04 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7301335 | $292.05 |
| 02-28 19:48 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0370888846 | $96.43 |
| 02-26 13:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 02-26 13:34 | Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.638 | $63.80 |
| 02-26 12:36 | Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | SELL | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 02-25 13:15 | Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | SELL | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 02-25 11:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28? | BUY | 0.7201204645 | $298.89 |
| 02-25 11:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 27? | BUY | 0.7464651163 | $320.98 |