0x1fd70f8dd50cd9f67c9fe13495f2e12601d2f81e
0x1fd70f8dd50cd9f67c9fe13495f2e12601d2f81e
- Realised P&L
- $7.71
- Volume
- $132.55
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $8.50
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.958 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.4B? · No | 0.720 | 0.870 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q3 investment banking revenue be above $2.45B? · No | 0.680 | 0.760 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.680 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · No | 0.660 | 0.720 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.585 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.620 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.165 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.62at 0.227Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 22:52 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:33 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:49 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.4B? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:22 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 09:42 | Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q3 investment banking revenue be above $2.45B? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 15:26 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 05:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 08:01 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 00:00 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:49 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:46 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:20 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:19 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 19:54 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |