PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x1fd14149fd726f6d8cce4556149aec8d9cfabdac

Realised P&L
$-148.55
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
291
Open portfolio
$150.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded291
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28? · No0.7401.000$32.42+$8.43
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? · Yes0.1101.000$31.72+$28.23
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28? · Yes0.2001.000$30.00+$24.00
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February? · Yes0.1201.000$9.00+$7.92
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0150.360$8.64+$8.27
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31? · Yes0.7001.000$6.89+$2.07
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0570.357$6.59+$5.53
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February? · Yes0.2201.000$6.00+$4.68
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026? · Yes0.3401.000$5.00+$3.30
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.8201.000$5.00+$0.90
Will 'Nothing's About To Happen To Me' - Mitski debut week album sales be between 35k and 40k? · Yes0.0901.000$5.00+$4.55
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.2860.290$1.75+$0.02
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0700.168$1.68+$0.98
Will Mia Mottley be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0650.010$0.27$1.46
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.2200.011$0.08$1.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-23 04:10Spread: Estoril Praia (-2.5)BUY0.0355775$1.00
02-23 04:10Will FC Nantes win on 2026-03-01?BUY0.13$1.04
02-23 04:10Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi in February 2026?BUY0.0376035714$1.05
02-23 04:10Will Dogecoin be the top performing crypto in February?BUY0.039$1.01
02-23 04:10Spread: PAOK (-2.5)BUY0.0587023529$1.00
02-23 04:10Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on February 27?BUY0.04$0.28
02-23 00:00Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
02-23 00:00Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on February 24?BUY0.08$0.40
02-23 00:00Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.3$1.50
02-23 00:00Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 24?BUY0.05$1.00
02-23 00:00Will "How to Train Your Dragon" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.11$0.56
02-23 00:00Will "Homefront" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.1$0.27
02-23 00:00Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.05$0.55
02-23 00:00Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.1$1.00
02-23 00:00Will "How to Train Your Dragon" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?BUY0.1$0.51