Rrdd11
0x1fc540a4644f665458aefc4f72240d37d37938d9
- Realised P&L
- $-18.9k
- Volume
- $1.07M
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $215.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.762 | 0.315 | $215.57 | −$306.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.5kat 0.164Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.8kat 0.680Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$6.2kat 0.390Will Newcastle beat Tottenham?
- +$6.1kat 0.220Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
- +$4.0kat 0.503Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 16:43 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $12.71 |
| 06-09 16:43 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.2k |
| 06-02 11:46 | Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $329.78 |
| 06-02 11:45 | Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $192.05 |
| 06-19 06:25 | Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | BUY | 0.974 | $1.4k |
| 01-17 21:20 | Liverpool wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.674 | $762.40 |
| 01-17 21:18 | Arsenal wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.198 | $3.56 |
| 01-17 21:18 | Arsenal wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.198 | $3.56 |
| 01-17 21:18 | Arsenal wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.197 | $32.30 |
| 12-15 11:48 | Liverpool wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.491 | $38.48 |
| 12-15 11:48 | Arsenal wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.17 | $45.98 |
| 12-15 11:47 | Chelsea wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.16 | $92.24 |
| 12-15 11:46 | Liverpool wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.481 | $24.68 |
| 12-13 19:43 | Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.13 | $84.95 |
| 12-13 19:41 | Liverpool wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.527 | $31.92 |