nimaro
0x1fbd8e64d2612d6cbb51ec52a7ee48337b79fe45
- Realised P&L
- $-98.43
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $43.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.00at 0.550US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
- +$5.38at 0.103US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
- +$4.14at 0.290US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$2.99at 0.770Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 18?
- +$1.14at 0.021Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 12:31 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 21:54 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 03-02 14:49 | Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.0129999937 | $2.00 |
| 03-01 01:12 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.032 | $4.00 |
| 02-25 01:22 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 02-25 01:20 | Will GroenLinks (GL) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election? | BUY | 0.1117139882 | $4.00 |
| 02-18 23:51 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | BUY | 0.2098090614 | $10.00 |
| 02-17 15:00 | Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | BUY | 0.004 | $3.00 |
| 02-14 15:48 | US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 13:11 | GPT ads by March 31? | BUY | 0.1262486148 | $6.00 |
| 02-08 01:33 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 01:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 02-07 13:13 | GPT ads by March 31? | BUY | 0.0599999972 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 14:14 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 01-31 01:39 | Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |