PolyBot

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Traders

0x1fbd5a5fca635e7a223d5d27befb1644e69cbbdb

0x1fbd5a5fca635e7a223d5d27befb1644e69cbbdb

Realised P&L
$87.83
Volume
$842.63
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$41.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration62.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5200.545$32.88+$1.51
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9630.987$5.12+$0.12
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4210.548$2.61+$0.61
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0370.030$0.82−$0.18
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2600.009$0.16−$4.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 21:30Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY0.299999999$29.27
09-28 21:24Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.519999992$31.37
09-28 21:07Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4209999844$2.00
09-27 22:02Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0369999987$1.00
07-03 14:04Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5BUY0.1899999373$2.00
07-03 13:58Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1949999656$4.00
06-29 17:05Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1899999726$5.00
06-29 17:04Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1899999726$5.00
05-27 20:35Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" or "Suitcase" during his next YouTube video?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
05-23 22:28Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenBUY0.07$7.00
03-06 12:00Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9629999994$5.00
03-06 12:00Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0210000003$2.00
03-06 11:59Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.0179999965$5.00
03-06 11:58Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
03-06 11:57Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1519999865$9.00