PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ramavalos

0x1fbbb7f8e75ba775ce499043a7311aee1c83faec

Realised P&L
$82.73
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
357
Open portfolio
$7.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded357
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1200.245$4.08+$2.08
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0130.032$2.46+$1.46
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.3100.335$1.08+$0.08
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.0800.004$0.06−$0.94
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5330.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2170.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$2.00
Aston Villa to score first vs. Paris Saint-Germain? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$2.00
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$2.00
Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ goals · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$1.00
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 10:03Australia vs. Brazil: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5299999868$2.00
09-25 10:02Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.8099999352$2.00
09-25 09:23Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
09-25 09:23Türkiye vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-25 09:23Türkiye to score first vs. France?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-25 09:20Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.3099999954$2.00
09-25 09:20Italy vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-25 09:20Belgium to score first vs. Italy?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-24 18:40Will Wales win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.05$1.00
09-24 18:40Portugal vs. Wales: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4899999584$2.00
09-24 18:40Wales to score first vs. Portugal?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-24 18:39Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
09-24 18:39Netherlands vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.699999965$2.00
09-24 18:39Germany to score first vs. Netherlands?BUY0.5$1.00
09-24 18:37Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.59999994$2.00