tylerbrown
0x1fb84d9247fe3a797836c6aa3a9cbb4c3ebdf19f
- Realised P&L
- $-4.41
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $12.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 9? · Yes | 0.892 | 0.398 | $12.18 | −$15.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.03at 0.320Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$4.42at 0.650UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$0.84at 0.740Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?
- +$0.66at 0.750Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
- +$0.49at 0.580Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:41 | Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.46 |
| 01-30 15:16 | Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999995 | $4.24 |
| 01-30 13:15 | Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.97 |
| 01-30 12:03 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $43.88 |
| 01-30 11:51 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $42.69 |
| 12-30 17:34 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979998642 | $1.69 |
| 12-30 15:05 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979998865 | $3.64 |
| 12-30 14:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.99899996 | $13.45 |
| 12-30 08:18 | Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.71 |
| 12-29 23:13 | Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.98 |
| 12-29 22:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.00 |
| 10-30 18:56 | Will XRP reach $3.30 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.14 |
| 10-30 18:19 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.89 |
| 09-29 18:27 | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $15.56 |
| 09-29 04:26 | Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.49 |