PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

picaflor

0x1fb0def6d613a87b3567ce85d488f699c693eb54

Realised P&L
$-45.59
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
199
Open portfolio
$9.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded199
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Germany win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.1000.095$9.50−$0.50
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1800.040$0.22−$0.78
Vikings vs. Cowboys · Cowboys0.8200.000$0.00−$1.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on January 11? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bucks vs. Lakers · Lakers0.4500.000$0.00−$1.00
Rockets vs. Kings · Rockets0.8850.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on December 24? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$1.00
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 4? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? · No0.3600.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 07:58Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6499999675$5.00
08-23 07:54Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.5$5.00
07-23 14:39Will Germany win the UEFA EURO 2028?BUY0.1$10.00
03-14 06:35Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
03-07 05:43Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
03-07 05:42Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
03-04 05:07Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?BUY0.65$1.00
03-01 18:56Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY0.719999856$1.00
03-01 18:56Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?SELL0.999$1.56
02-28 20:40Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
02-28 20:39Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?BUY0.64$1.00
02-28 20:38Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?SELL0.999$1.72
02-28 17:21Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?BUY0.579999826$1.00
02-18 23:48Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.5199999834$5.00
01-20 04:24Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?BUY0.1399998824$1.00