50testreward
0x1fa1ab110e6bfc4b1eb4aaa4121723ec3f4f89b3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $153.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,269
- Open portfolio
- $207.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,269
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.66at 0.620Will Alex Tuch record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?
- +$1.00at 0.700Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$0.80at 0.580Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$0.80at 0.590Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$0.73at 0.620Will the Montreal Canadiens record 100+ points?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 00:47 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | SELL | 0.896 | $35.84 |
| 10-14 00:46 | Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.048 | $1.92 |
| 10-14 00:38 | Will New England Patriots advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.916 | $18.32 |
| 10-14 00:29 | Will Christina Koch be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.90 |
| 10-14 00:23 | Will Santander fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $18.80 |
| 10-14 00:22 | Will Cincinnati Bengals finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks? | SELL | 0.079 | $1.58 |
| 10-14 00:21 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | SELL | 0.951 | $3.29 |
| 10-14 00:11 | Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.08 |
| 10-14 00:09 | Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.905 | $18.10 |
| 10-14 00:09 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18? | SELL | 0.965 | $5.72 |
| 10-13 23:57 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-20 House seat? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.68 |
| 10-13 23:56 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of October 12 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.04 |
| 10-13 23:48 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | SELL | 0.048 | $0.96 |
| 10-13 23:46 | Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | SELL | 0.153 | $0.77 |
| 10-13 23:34 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |