0x1f9E300c4700C64ec20BEe5221a70Fcd735186bd-1762847486776
0x1f9e300c4700c64ec20bee5221a70fcd735186bd
- Realised P&L
- $-99.38
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $126.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.09at 0.433Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?
- +$12.87at 0.670Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$9.31at 0.730Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?
- +$8.96at 0.750Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
- +$7.68at 0.720US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 20:01 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.372 | $1.28 |
| 10-27 16:04 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.6979999853 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 16:03 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.9 | $13.23 |
| 10-25 11:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999882 | $14.00 |
| 10-25 11:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999987 | $70.00 |
| 10-21 01:29 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 21:52 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0809999596 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 19:12 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3941958207 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 19:11 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $16.90 |
| 07-14 20:22 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.0299999928 | $4.00 |
| 07-14 20:05 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.1824999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 18:30 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 18:28 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31? | SELL | 0.974 | $38.96 |
| 07-13 18:22 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.552499979 | $9.88 |
| 07-13 18:19 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.412499996 | $30.00 |