PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1F99C34BBb81E9fe977750d10a31432E3B4285c8-1771688892522

0x1f99c34bbb81e9fe977750d10a31432e3b4285c8

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$68.1k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$584.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)9.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0900.033$327.21$576.95
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2280.065$257.05$645.49
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$250.00
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? · Yes0.3460.000$0.00$400.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$999.99
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2970.000$0.00$300.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$1000.00
Will another country strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.3840.000$0.00$600.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$500.00
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026? · Yes0.1350.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 16:00Iran closes its airspace by May 8?BUY0.3499999997$500.00
05-04 15:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?BUY0.4699999999$1000.00
04-03 14:30Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.0930679501$500.00
04-03 13:25Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.087$29.60
04-03 05:34Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.086$62.24
04-03 05:31Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.086$43.00
03-28 18:55Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.2732789581$100.00
03-26 04:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?SELL0.0866371358$273.57
03-26 04:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?SELL0.1616305497$181.66
03-26 04:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?SELL0.2998411634$199.89
03-26 04:47Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?BUY0.0950086707$300.00
03-26 04:47Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.1779448222$200.00
03-26 04:47Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY0.2999999992$200.00
03-26 04:44Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?SELL0.6321229077$402.19
03-26 04:44Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?SELL0.3136028507$160.61
Trader 0x1F99C34BBb81E9fe977750d10a31432E3B4285c8-1771688892522 · PolyBot