0x1f9820dfd710fb8a2179af8eb992f6ba5baa298c
0x1f9820dfd710fb8a2179af8eb992f6ba5baa298c
- Realised P&L
- $-742.63
- Volume
- $52.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,070
- Open portfolio
- $38.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,070
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.824 | 1.000 | $19.97 | +$3.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.970 | 1.000 | $13.52 | +$0.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.951 | 1.000 | $4.93 | +$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.38at 0.452Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21?
- +$40.49at 0.781Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Texas Super Kings
- +$30.48at 0.655ITF Sapporo: Miho Kuramochi vs Ayumi Miyamoto
- +$29.14at 0.738Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$25.11at 0.774Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9507760298 | $4.69 |
| 09-26 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9699999985 | $13.12 |
| 09-26 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.8244386646 | $16.47 |
| 09-26 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9713780261 | $130.41 |
| 09-26 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.96 | $18.59 |
| 09-26 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.96 | $17.54 |
| 09-25 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9576140398 | $20.75 |
| 09-25 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.9882022273 | $55.90 |
| 09-24 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $46.97 |
| 09-24 09:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9300563524 | $9.69 |
| 09-22 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.5627051373 | $435.39 |
| 09-22 02:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.5398061407 | $417.68 |
| 09-21 13:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.9225893961 | $417.97 |
| 09-20 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.8599999654 | $4.97 |
| 09-20 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9899998068 | $4.97 |