bjungmiguel
0x1f8fe6b9e8e62a386e4ba02eb4c757f444862be3
- Realised P&L
- $-67.34
- Volume
- $18.1k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $347.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.765 | $198.70 | −$1.30 |
| Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-16? · No | 0.750 | 0.745 | $149.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Shelbourne FC win on 2026-10-16? · No | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$122.85 |
| Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.33 |
| Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-13? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.73 |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13? · No | 0.675 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$135.18 |
| Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-10-16? · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-13? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.44at 0.652Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-14?
- +$46.24at 0.652Will AZ win on 2026-10-15?
- +$43.79at 0.867Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-14?
- +$42.22at 0.819Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?
- +$38.20at 0.756Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 22:54 | Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.75 | $150.00 |
| 10-16 22:39 | Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.77 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 22:38 | Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $178.39 |
| 10-16 22:10 | Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.86 | $35.25 |
| 10-16 20:54 | Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.77 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 20:40 | Will Waterford FC win on 2026-10-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $110.99 |
| 10-16 20:40 | Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-10-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $117.52 |
| 10-16 20:39 | Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $118.92 |
| 10-16 19:06 | Will Shelbourne FC win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.86 | $122.85 |
| 10-16 18:50 | Will Waterford FC win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.82 | $68.88 |
| 10-16 18:39 | Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-16? | SELL | 0.973114402 | $172.16 |
| 10-16 18:38 | Will Dijon Football Côte d'Or win on 2026-10-16? | SELL | 0.96 | $54.54 |
| 10-16 18:37 | Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.79 | $94.04 |
| 10-16 18:16 | Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 10-16 18:13 | Will Dijon Football Côte d'Or win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.80 |