0x1f83c1aab59abe52efa5ff262f348b236912ec5c
- Realised P&L
- $19.33
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $4.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.007 | $4.75 | −$4.75 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.50at 0.162Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$-0.43at 0.948France vs. England: Team to Win
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 16:12 | Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0139999985 | $9.50 |
| 07-18 22:43 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.1549999986 | $90.00 |
| 07-18 22:42 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.201 | $116.22 |
| 07-18 22:13 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.04 | $18.00 |
| 07-18 22:13 | Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $20.82 |
| 07-18 22:12 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.0389999923 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 22:11 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.911 | $5.01 |
| 07-18 21:38 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.9199998283 | $3.00 |
| 07-18 21:36 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 21:39 | Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.016980712 | $17.17 |
| 07-15 21:38 | Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0152775285 | $11.06 |
| 07-15 21:04 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.9975 | $33.25 |
| 07-15 20:51 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |