PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

marczinsou229

0x1f7e3835f8aa020156b50e68e9a09230f54e364f

Realised P&L
$5.92
Volume
$424.46
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$91.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1? · Yes0.3000.992$3.83+$2.67
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 1? · Yes0.3170.520$3.80+$1.48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1? · Yes0.3500.992$3.29+$2.13
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 2? · Yes0.2160.305$3.28+$0.96
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1? · Yes0.4200.976$2.67+$1.52
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 1? · Yes0.4400.945$2.49+$1.33
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 2? · Yes0.3250.345$2.45+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1? · Yes0.2530.260$2.38+$0.07
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 1? · Yes0.2500.480$2.21+$1.06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1? · Yes0.4300.815$2.20+$1.04
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1? · Yes0.2400.400$1.92+$0.77
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1? · Yes0.4500.710$1.83+$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1? · Yes0.5700.890$1.81+$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 1? · Yes0.2200.340$1.79+$0.63
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 1? · Yes0.3800.530$1.62+$0.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:38Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 2?BUY0.3799999476$1.16
10-01 05:08Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 1?SELL0.99$1.61
10-01 04:11Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 1?BUY0.2199999697$1.16
10-01 03:58Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.5599998841$1.16
10-01 03:28Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 1?BUY0.3498491276$1.16
10-01 03:18Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 1?BUY0.3099999515$1.15
10-01 03:13Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2?BUY0.4399999393$1.16
10-01 03:09Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 2?BUY0.2599999686$1.16
10-01 02:26Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.509999956$1.16
10-01 02:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 2?BUY0.25$1.15
10-01 02:08Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1?BUY0.2799999421$1.16
10-01 01:21Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.2243902099$1.16
10-01 01:21Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 2?BUY0.1889999734$1.16
10-01 01:21Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 2?BUY0.3299999545$1.16
10-01 01:16Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 1?BUY0.7399999362$1.16