marczinsou229
0x1f7e3835f8aa020156b50e68e9a09230f54e364f
- Realised P&L
- $5.92
- Volume
- $424.46
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $91.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.53at 0.177Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 30?
- +$3.22at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 30?
- +$3.21at 0.270Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?
- +$1.63at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30?
- +$1.49at 0.442Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.3799999476 | $1.16 |
| 10-01 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.61 |
| 10-01 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.2199999697 | $1.16 |
| 10-01 03:58 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.5599998841 | $1.16 |
| 10-01 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.3498491276 | $1.16 |
| 10-01 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.3099999515 | $1.15 |
| 10-01 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.4399999393 | $1.16 |
| 10-01 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.2599999686 | $1.16 |
| 10-01 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.509999956 | $1.16 |
| 10-01 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.15 |
| 10-01 02:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.2799999421 | $1.16 |
| 10-01 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.2243902099 | $1.16 |
| 10-01 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.1889999734 | $1.16 |
| 10-01 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.3299999545 | $1.16 |
| 10-01 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.7399999362 | $1.16 |