Iamnotabot2
0x1f7d87ffe5780874118990b9ba0d040157baaa8d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $481.6k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $688.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.235 | $376.00 | −$168.00 |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.195 | $312.00 | −$216.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$370.80at 0.200Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
- +$198.00at 0.150US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$87.15at 0.150US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$42.00at 0.280Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?
- +$18.21at 0.700Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 04:41 | Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $42.49 |
| 10-02 06:55 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.54 | $864.00 |
| 09-30 10:36 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.65 | $26.00 |
| 09-29 14:49 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $64.28 |
| 09-29 12:37 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 09-28 09:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.26 | $23.73 |
| 09-19 20:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | SELL | 0.87 | $783.00 |
| 09-19 20:42 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.88 | $176.00 |
| 09-18 15:12 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.35 |
| 09-18 15:08 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 09-18 05:15 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.4751029375 | $760.16 |
| 09-14 14:10 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.8540849673 | $83.63 |
| 09-10 14:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.45 | $454.38 |
| 09-04 13:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.48 | $147.94 |
| 09-04 08:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.00 |