0x1F7c68EdF347a77bB3d6a424B52d192483B2de22-1779330967542
0x1f7c68edf347a77bb3d6a424b52d192483b2de22
- Realised P&L
- $-420.34
- Volume
- $48.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,770
- Open portfolio
- $0.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,770
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.886 | 0.023 | $0.05 | −$1.95 |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.19at 0.064Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 17?
- +$41.72at 0.052Roland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda
- +$25.83at 0.484Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?
- +$18.32at 0.145Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$17.45at 0.322Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on May 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 01:42 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.52 | $0.67 |
| 07-02 01:42 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.35 | $0.72 |
| 07-02 01:42 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | SELL | 0.78 | $1.01 |
| 07-02 01:42 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.71 | $1.05 |
| 07-02 01:41 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.999 | $1.59 |
| 07-02 01:41 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.18 | $1.16 |
| 07-02 01:41 | Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) | SELL | 0.994 | $1.12 |
| 07-02 01:41 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $1.14 |
| 07-02 01:41 | Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.20 |
| 07-02 01:40 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.69 |
| 07-02 01:40 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals | SELL | 0.98 | $1.49 |
| 07-02 01:40 | Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 07-02 01:40 | Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15? | SELL | 0.989 | $3.40 |
| 07-02 00:04 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7399998924 | $1.10 |
| 07-02 00:04 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1699998779 | $1.10 |