0x1F6EBF9e61F149228b2d1bD7dD0D33F20730836a-1771847975890
0x1f6ebf9e61f149228b2d1bd7dd0d33f20730836a
- Realised P&L
- $-0.95
- Volume
- $27.5k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $17.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $17.99 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.11at 0.989Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.10at 0.992Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 13?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 5?
- +$0.02at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 8?
- +$0.00at 0.010Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 03:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.96 |
| 07-02 02:52 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.52 |
| 06-24 08:38 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.12 |
| 05-19 09:56 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.006 | $12.06 |
| 04-25 06:59 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.90 |
| 04-24 07:24 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.16 |
| 04-23 02:57 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.10 |
| 04-22 02:56 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.16 |
| 04-21 03:02 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.90 |
| 03-26 05:17 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.981 | $613.13 |
| 03-25 03:09 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.982 | $10.44 |