0x1f6c2b1f3c47ca1aae0847324ef74f55d94f2a44
0x1f6c2b1f3c47ca1aae0847324ef74f55d94f2a44
- Realised P&L
- $0.83
- Volume
- $18.72
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $3.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. British Columbia Lions · British Columbia Lions | 0.630 | 0.630 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Chargers vs. Bills · Bills | 0.760 | 0.755 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Colorado State vs. UTSA · UTSA | 0.830 | 0.815 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Falcons vs. Packers · Packers | 0.720 | 0.695 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Raiders vs. Chargers · Chargers | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants · Minnesota Twins | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.75at 0.578Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
- +$0.51at 0.666Commanders vs. Cowboys
- +$0.51at 0.666Seahawks vs. Cardinals
- +$0.49at 0.678Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$0.34at 0.747Giants vs. Rams
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 22:13 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 04:52 | Chargers vs. Bills | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 04:51 | Colorado State vs. UTSA | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 04:51 | Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. British Columbia Lions | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 04:51 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:51 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:06 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 01:58 | Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 20:34 | Dolphins vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:33 | Raiders vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:07 | Seahawks vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 18:16 | Commanders vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 17:54 | Steelers vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |