PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TommyKFCV50

0x1f6a73522a44513cd40c435a24310ac471dfbe7e

Realised P&L
$5.2k
Volume
$583.7k
Markets traded
231
Open portfolio
$18.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded231
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9110.946$10.3k+$367.93
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9330.960$4.0k+$109.30
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9560.981$1.2k+$28.54
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.7950.830$1.0k+$43.12
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.8500.825$825.00$25.00
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.6570.465$465.00$191.74
Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.9560.895$422.55$29.02
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9400.951$111.78+$1.23
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by August 31, 2026? · No0.9500.971$48.55+$1.05
Multipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.8030.550$36.65$16.88
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.5200.948$17.13+$7.73
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9300.959$14.35+$0.43
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.4770.735$3.62+$1.27
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 29? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$127.15
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00$231.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 11:30GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.97$2.4k
06-25 07:09Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.9163105559$926.47
06-25 07:09Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.9379437752$509.97
06-16 03:21Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.7950281849$980.21
06-16 03:16o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.989$101.47
06-16 03:16Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9715554731$78.55
06-04 01:48Tea FDV above $40M one day after launchSELL0.0729795745$34.30
05-31 06:15Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?SELL0.6288062883$47.20
05-31 06:13Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?SELL0.6539647704$70.35
05-31 06:12Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?SELL0.7001612903$34.73
05-31 05:20Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?BUY0.9327810205$1.6k
05-29 06:17Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?SELL0.0024469559$10.92
05-29 05:05Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 29?BUY0.0999245211$83.40
05-29 05:04Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 29?BUY0.0047794038$6.32
05-29 01:37Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?SELL0.002$1.96