Btcslayer555555
0x1f693a4c2914012b22e4af63f98ab2accbfef47b
- Realised P&L
- $225.19
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $13.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 8? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.089 | $13.18 | −$83.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? · Down | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.73 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3PM ET · Down | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.80 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Down | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2AM ET · Down | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.59 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1AM ET · Down | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Up | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Down | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Up | 0.504 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$93.02 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 7? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$463.07at 0.180Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 8?
- +$66.51at 0.184Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$26.00at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET
- +$-11.29at 0.058Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 15:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 8? | SELL | 0.57934 | $144.83 |
| 10-07 18:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 10-07 17:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 10-07 15:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.001115 | $0.22 |
| 10-07 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 10-06 07:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $25.60 |
| 10-06 07:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.18 | $7.83 |
| 07-10 17:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5042175728 | $93.02 |
| 07-10 11:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.99 |