Otoro
0x1f6394576b338194b7eb06c1e22cffda9048c7b4
- Realised P&L
- $158.59
- Volume
- $1.32M
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $219.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes | 0.547 | 0.695 | $219.91 | +$46.75 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.50at 0.449US military action against Iran before July?
- +$83.00at 0.170Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?
- +$60.00at 0.400Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
- +$9.87at 0.958Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$5.90at 0.036Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-22 18:19 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.55 | $85.29 |
| 03-22 18:16 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 03-22 18:15 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.52 | $11.66 |
| 06-23 23:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.67 | $73.70 |
| 06-20 14:23 | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BUY | 0.18 | $90.00 |
| 06-17 19:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 06-06 13:50 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.50 |
| 04-03 13:17 | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SELL | 0.16 | $528.52 |
| 08-15 13:45 | Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.1k |
| 08-15 13:44 | Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.1k |
| 08-15 13:43 | Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.1k |
| 08-15 13:42 | Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.1k |
| 08-15 13:40 | Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.1k |
| 08-15 13:38 | Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.1k |
| 08-15 13:35 | Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.1k |