PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Otoro

0x1f6394576b338194b7eb06c1e22cffda9048c7b4

Realised P&L
$158.59
Volume
$1.32M
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$219.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.5470.695$219.91+$46.75
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.10
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$90.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-22 18:19Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.55$85.29
03-22 18:16Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.54$10.80
03-22 18:15Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.52$11.66
06-23 23:45Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.67$73.70
06-20 14:23Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?BUY0.18$90.00
06-17 19:05Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.73$73.00
06-06 13:50Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?BUY0.005$1.50
04-03 13:17Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?SELL0.16$528.52
08-15 13:45Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?BUY0.7$1.1k
08-15 13:44Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?BUY0.7$1.1k
08-15 13:43Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?BUY0.7$1.1k
08-15 13:42Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?BUY0.7$1.1k
08-15 13:40Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?BUY0.7$1.1k
08-15 13:38Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?BUY0.7$1.1k
08-15 13:35Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?BUY0.7$1.1k