0x1f6332b8d2dce7f6d46cb5c9765401102b998a96
0x1f6332b8d2dce7f6d46cb5c9765401102b998a96
- Realised P&L
- $-1.75
- Volume
- $188.83
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $5.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.974 | $1.65 | +$0.65 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.640 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.775 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.680 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.540 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $187 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$1.61at 0.389S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 07:09 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 23:08 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:28 | Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:03 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:53 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 00:07 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:13 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:46 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:53 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:03 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:40 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:32 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:26 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:25 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |